Do the Golden Globes still matter? How nominations shape the Oscars

0
Do the Golden Globes still matter? How nominations shape the Oscars

2025 Golden Globe The nominations have been officially announced and will likely influence other major Hollywood awards shows. The Golden Globes have been around since 1944, and despite some controversy over the years, it remains one of the most important nights for the year's biggest movies and TV shows during awards season. The 2025 Golden Globes will be held on Sunday, January 5, 2025, and will be the first big show of awards season.

The 2025 Golden Globe nominations included some expected names, but also plenty of surprises. The drug cartel musical Emilia Pérez leads the way into awards season with a total of 10 nominations. The A24 drama The Brutalist is right behind the aforementioned musical with seven nominations, and the Ralph Fiennes-led film Conclave won five nominations. Furthermore, films like anora, A real pain, Eviland the surprise success of the 2024 horror film The substance won several nominations. Then, What do the 2025 Golden Globe nominations mean as we get closer and closer to the Oscars?

Why the Golden Globes Still Matter for Oscar and Awards Season

The Golden Globes are the first major ceremony of the awards season

The Golden Globes have been one of the most controversial awards shows in recent years, as they were previously administered by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). The HFPA has faced criticism for allowing people with very little journalistic experience to become members. Additionally, most notably, it was reported in 2021 that the HFPA had not had a black member since 2002. Following the controversy, Dick Clark Productions purchased the assets, rights and properties of the HFPA and now produces the Golden Globes.

The Golden Globe winners will likely influence other major awards shows, such as the British Academy Film Awards and the Oscars.

Therefore, despite the controversy, The Golden Globes remain one of the most important awards in Hollywood. Typically, the biggest films of the year are honored at the awards ceremony, and many stars attend the celebration. The Golden Globe winners will likely influence other major awards shows, such as the British Academy Film Awards and the Oscars. There's a good chance that the Golden Globe results and the winner's speeches could sway any undecided voters at the other awards shows.

What winning a Golden Globe means for actors and directors at the Oscars

Winning a Golden Globe Can Lead to Oscar Success

Often, an actor or director who wins a Golden Globe will suggest that they may also be successful at the Oscars. Being recognized early in awards season will give an actor or director the boost they need to achieve continued success at other awards shows. However, winning a Golden Globe doesn't necessarily guarantee an Oscar win, and there are many notable differences between Golden Globe and Oscar winners in recent years.

Looking first at the Best Actor and Best Actress categories, 2024 proved that Golden Globes success could very likely mean Oscars successas Cillian Murphy and Emma Stone won major awards at both awards shows. However, in 2023, Austin Butler and Colin Farrell won the top acting awards at the Golden Globes, but Brendan Fraser won the Oscar for Best Actor at the Academy Awards. Similarly, in 2021, Nicole Kidman and Rachel Zegler won the top acting awards at the Golden Globes, but Jessica Chastain ended up winning the Oscar for Best Actress.

The results between the awards may also vary in the supporting actor and actress categories. However, In recent years, most actors who have won the Golden Globe have also won the Oscar. The results were different in 2022 for the Supporting Actor category, as Kodi Smit-McPhee won the Golden Globe, but Troy Kotsur won the Oscar, and in 2023 for the Supporting Actress category, as Regina King won the Golden Globe, but Jamie Lee Curtis won the Academy Award. Despite these results, most supporting actor and actress Golden Globe winners actually went on to win Oscars.

Moving away from the actors and towards the directors, it wouldn't be surprising if the Golden Globe winner for Best Director also won the coveted directing prize at the Oscars.. In recent years, directors like Christopher Nolan, Jane Campion and Chloé Zhao have won a Golden Globe and an Oscar. Of course, there are years when the winners are different. For example, in 2023, Steven Spielberg won the Golden Globe for Best Director for his work on The Fabelmanswhile directing duo Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert won the Oscar for directing Everything everywhere at the same time.

What Winning a Golden Globe Means for a Film's Best Picture Oscar Chances

Best Picture Winner Is Sometimes Too Unpredictable

Any film nominated in the Best Motion Picture - Drama or Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy category at the 2025 Golden Globes could very well be nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars. However, winning a Golden Globe in any of these categories does not guarantee Oscar success. In fact, several Best Picture winners in recent years, such as Everything everywhere at the same time, CODEand ParasiteIt did not win Best Picture in any of the Golden Globe categories.

Based on the Golden Globe nominations, the current favorites for Best Picture appear to be Emilia Pérez, The Brutalistand Concavebut there's a strong chance that will change as we get closer to the Oscars.

Because the three films mentioned above started to gain a lot more traction a little later in awards season, they didn't win the top prizes at the Golden Globes. Therefore, It's possible that a losing film at the 2025 Golden Globes could end up winning Best Picture. Based on the Golden Globe nominations, the current favorites for Best Picture appear to be Emilia Pérez, The Brutalistand Concavebut there's a strong chance that will change as we get closer to the Oscars.

In the acting and directing categories, there are several names that stand out at the moment. Similarly, Currently, some films seem to have much more news than others. There's a good chance that the artists behind films like Emilia Pérez, The Brutalist, Conclaveand even Evil will win awards in 2025 Golden Globeand most likely it could also be successful at the Oscars. However, awards season is undoubtedly always full of surprises, and new favorites could emerge in the coming months.